Warsh Era Begins at the Fed as AI Euphoria Pushes S&P 500 Up 18% in Two Months
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) has surged 18% since its March 30 low, fueled by AI euphoria and easing geopolitical tensions — a remarkable rebound from the near-8% plunge that followed the U.S. strike on Iran in late February. ...
Markets Overview
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) has surged 18% since its March 30 low, fueled by AI euphoria and easing geopolitical tensions — a remarkable rebound from the near-8% plunge that followed the U.S. strike on Iran in late February. Markets gained this past week on softer inflation data and de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where brief fighting between Iranian drones and U.S. Navy warplanes had disrupted commercial shipping. The Dow (^DJI), S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) all closed near highs as of May 27. Consumer sentiment remains deeply pessimistic — dragged down by high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a K-shaped economy — but history firmly sides with equities over sentiment surveys.
Fed & Economic Data
Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, succeeding Jerome Powell in what marks only the second transition of its kind in 30 years. Warsh inherits a complicated backdrop: inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed's target, oil prices are elevated, and the housing market is effectively frozen with mortgage rates hovering near multi-decade highs. Analysts warn Warsh's policy plans could end the current bull run. The May inflation forecast is sparking talk of fireworks on Wall Street. Meanwhile, investors are already repositioning — Pfizer (PFE) is being floated as a potential beneficiary of a Warsh-led rate posture.
Earnings Reports
Science Applications International (SAIC) delivered a notable beat: Non-GAAP EPS of $3.23 topped estimates by $0.95, while revenue of $1.91B exceeded expectations by $90M. Costco (COST) reported strong same-store sales growth on May 28, yet the stock sold off on the news — shares are up 10% YTD but down from recent highs. Broadcom (AVGO) closed at an all-time high of $446.77 on Friday, pushing its market cap past $2.1 trillion ahead of its June 3 earnings report. Datadog (DDOG) has more than doubled from its April lows and trades at all-time highs after a strong Q1 revenue print. Dollar Tree (DLTR) surged more than 20% for the week on solid quarterly operating metrics, with net sales rising sharply.
Hot Sectors
Semiconductors continue to dominate, with some traders now eyeing short entries on the SOXX after the relentless rally. AI-adjacent names remain in focus: Arista Networks (ANET) is flagged as an under-the-radar AI play ahead of earnings, while Dell (DELL) has gone from afterthought to center stage alongside Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOGL). Nuclear energy stock Oklo (OKLO) has more than quadrupled since its market debut two years ago. Energy dividend stocks are attracting income-focused investors amid elevated oil prices and geopolitical risk. Defense names are in the spotlight after South Korea ordered $4.2 billion in military helicopters from Boeing (BA) and Lockheed Martin (LMT).
Stock News
SpaceX's upcoming IPO — reportedly targeting a valuation of around $200B — continues to dominate headlines, though one analysis suggests another lesser-known IPO stock could offer bigger upside. Speculation about a potential Tesla (TSLA) and SpaceX merger is circulating, but analysts warn it wouldn't benefit Tesla shareholders. Nio (NIO) says its battery swap network delivered 16% of all EV energy in China over a five-day period — a datapoint the market may be underpricing. Nokia (NOK), the $15 stock backed by a $1B Nvidia investment, is seeing heavy insider buying. Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) is being called one of pharma's most impressive comeback stories. LendingClub (LC) CFO Andrew LaBenne sold 20,000 shares for ~$340,000 on May 28.
Market Analysis
The central tension heading into June: a frothy, AI-driven equity rally colliding with a new Fed chair inheriting sticky inflation and elevated rates. Broadcom's June 3 earnings and Jensen Huang's COMPUTEX 2026 keynote (June 2–5) will set the tone for the AI trade this week. Snowflake (SNOW) deepening its AWS partnership and Eli Lilly (LLY) drawing Nvidia-style growth parallels add further fuel to the megacap growth narrative. On the macro front, all eyes are on Warsh's first substantive policy signals and whether the inflation data continues to soften — or forces the new chair's hand.